Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Tamworth
27.3%
Draw
36.3%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Tamworth
vs
1.40
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).