Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Cheltenham
26.3%
Draw
29.6%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cheltenham
vs
0.97
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).