⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 10CSV

17 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.3%
Bradford
27.8%
Draw
37.9%
Portsmouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Bradford

vs
1.08

Portsmouth

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).