Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Swansea
25.7%
Draw
25.4%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Swansea
vs
1.16
Leicester
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).