Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Mirandes
25.6%
Draw
14.6%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Mirandes
vs
0.59
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
13.9%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).