Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Manchester City
18.7%
Draw
8.0%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Manchester City
vs
0.67
Wolves
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
5-0
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).