Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Crewe
26.7%
Draw
28.0%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Crewe
vs
0.98
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).