Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Monaco
22.3%
Draw
25.8%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Monaco
vs
1.16
Lille
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).