Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Spal
26.6%
Draw
22.0%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Spal
vs
0.83
Verona
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).