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AHT: 12CSV

01 Nov 2019 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
Chambly
21.6%
Draw
49.7%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Chambly

vs
1.76

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).