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DHT: 01CSV

20 May 2023 · 18:00

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Guingamp
20.2%
Draw
51.9%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Guingamp

vs
1.99

Metz

Markets

BTTS64.5%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).