Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Dunfermline
29.7%
Draw
21.7%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Dunfermline
vs
0.81
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).