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DHT: 10CSV

20 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.5%
Aldershot
23.1%
Draw
26.5%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Aldershot

vs
1.43

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS66.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).