Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Dijon
22.4%
Draw
59.6%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Dijon
vs
1.66
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).