Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Exeter
25.4%
Draw
23.5%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Exeter
vs
0.83
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).