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10 Aug 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.9%
Jagiellonia Białystok
27.7%
Draw
22.4%
Cracovia Kraków

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Jagiellonia Białystok

vs
0.96

Cracovia Kraków

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).