Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Leganes
25.9%
Draw
14.7%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Leganes
vs
0.59
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
2-0
13.9%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).