Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Malaga
19.6%
Draw
17.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Malaga
vs
1.05
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).