Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
25.1%
Draw
59.3%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.86
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).