Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Como
24.3%
Draw
15.4%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Como
vs
0.84
Spezia
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).