Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →94.4%
Galatasaray
5.0%
Draw
0.6%
Istanbulspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.97
Galatasaray
vs
0.36
Istanbulspor
Markets
BTTS30.3%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.593.4%
Over 2.580.6%
Over 3.562.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.8%
4-0
13.6%
5-0
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.0%
4-1
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
5-1
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
1-1
2.4%
0-0
1.8%
3-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).