Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Bristol Rvs
23.7%
Draw
36.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.31
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).