Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Middlesbrough
30.5%
Draw
23.2%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Middlesbrough
vs
0.84
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).