Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Union Berlin
25.5%
Draw
18.9%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Union Berlin
vs
0.91
Bochum
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).