Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Guimaraes
27.3%
Draw
42.2%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Guimaraes
vs
1.25
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).