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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.8%
Evesham United
13.4%
Draw
15.8%
Bromsgrove Sporting

Expected Goals (xG)

3.53

Evesham United

vs
1.76

Bromsgrove Sporting

Markets

BTTS80.3%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.596.7%
Over 2.589.7%
Over 3.577.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
6.5%
4-1
5.7%
3-2
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
4-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
5-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
5-2
3.6%
3-3
3.4%
4-0
3.3%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).