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AHT: 01CSV

23 Nov 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Karlsruhe
22.3%
Draw
55.9%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Karlsruhe

vs
2.14

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS64.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
2-3
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).