Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Nordsjælland
26.8%
Draw
29.6%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Nordsjælland
vs
1.25
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).