Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.7%
Heidenheim
4.7%
Draw
93.5%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Heidenheim
vs
4.36
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.596.1%
Over 2.587.6%
Over 3.573.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
10.0%
0-3
9.2%
0-5
8.8%
1-4
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
1-5
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
2.8%
2-4
2.2%
1-1
2.0%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).