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HHT: 20CSV

28 Apr 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.7%
Paderborn
24.0%
Draw
16.3%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Paderborn

vs
0.90

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).