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AHT: 01

13 Apr 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
FC Koln
28.4%
Draw
25.1%
Brøndby IF

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

FC Koln

vs
1.01

Brøndby IF

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).