Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Granada
27.0%
Draw
30.7%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Granada
vs
1.09
Malaga
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).