Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Fenerbahce
15.9%
Draw
7.8%
Gaziantep
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Fenerbahce
vs
0.98
Gaziantep
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.556.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
5-0
3.8%
5-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).