Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Perugia
30.9%
Draw
25.3%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Perugia
vs
0.93
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).