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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.4%
Queens Park Rangers
12.6%
Draw
80.0%
Halesowen Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Queens Park Rangers

vs
2.77

Halesowen Town

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
0-3
10.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
0-4
7.4%
1-1
5.9%
1-4
5.4%
0-5
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-5
3.0%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).