Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Man United
20.4%
Draw
22.6%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Man United
vs
1.24
Coventry
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).