Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Estoril
20.0%
Draw
17.6%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Estoril
vs
1.21
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
3.7%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).