Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Servette
23.1%
Draw
58.5%
Thun
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Servette
vs
2.20
Thun
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).