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17 Feb 2020 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.7%
Gaziantep
29.6%
Draw
37.7%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Gaziantep

vs
1.58

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS63.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).