Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
Harborough Town
15.2%
Draw
10.8%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Harborough Town
vs
0.87
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).