Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Forest Green
26.9%
Draw
30.9%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Forest Green
vs
1.05
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).