Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Bari
32.7%
Draw
39.3%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Bari
vs
1.14
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).