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HHT: 11

09 Aug 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Arka Gdynia
26.9%
Draw
40.0%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Arka Gdynia

vs
1.51

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).