Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Burgos
30.8%
Draw
28.1%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Burgos
vs
0.85
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).