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20 Sept 2025 · 19:30

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Nurnberg
28.8%
Draw
38.2%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Nurnberg

vs
1.36

Bochum

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).