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HHT: 10CSV

16 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Darmstadt
28.8%
Draw
43.7%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Darmstadt

vs
1.38

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).