Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Nancy
33.1%
Draw
33.8%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Nancy
vs
0.81
Bastia
Markets
BTTS29.5%
Over 0.581.0%
Over 1.546.8%
Over 2.521.9%
Over 3.58.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.0%
0-1
17.3%
1-0
17.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
0-3
1.8%
3-0
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).