Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Elversberg
30.3%
Draw
28.8%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Elversberg
vs
1.05
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).