Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Southend
27.3%
Draw
49.8%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Southend
vs
1.57
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).