Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Ceuta
20.9%
Draw
17.5%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Ceuta
vs
0.96
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).